Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

Lechia Gdansk
1-0 HT 1-0
Polonia Warszawa
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.22/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.48
+25% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
22.02.2013 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
20.08.2012 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 1-2 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
02.12.2011 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 1-3 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-0
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Polonia Warszawa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 53% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 47%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.75 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa?

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 53%, draw 24%, Polonia Warszawa 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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