Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.07
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.87
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.66/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.30
-25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
25.6 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.07.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
30.07.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-3 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
29.04.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.11.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1-2
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.11 xG 0.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
268 Passes 586
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze nicked a narrow win over Radomiak Radom 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 33% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 67%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.66 — on chances, Radomiak Radom could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomiak Radom and 0.67 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 42%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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