Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Aug 2024

Rakow Czestochowa
0-0 HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.0
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
11%
6.83
2/X
9%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
2.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.74
+19% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.6 Crosses 8.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lech Poznan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 412
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-0 HT 3-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
28.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.05.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
30.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
09.07.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa PLS
02.05.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK

Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.16 xG 0.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 2
231 Passes 417
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa and Lech Poznan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 39% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 61%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.33 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan?

Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 51%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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