Sporting CP 3-1 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

Sporting CP
3-1 HT 2-0
Rio Ave
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.71
2-3 Goals
43%
2.15
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.24
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
14%
3.45
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
7%
12.1
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
4%
29.0
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-11.6pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.7pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.42/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.21
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
489 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
24.0 Crosses 10.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
448 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-3 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
25.09.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 2-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
07.02.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
07.12.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP PRLK
13.08.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
05.05.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Sporting CP 3-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-1
AWAY Rio Ave
3.00 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
514 Passes 321
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP beat Rio Ave 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Sporting CP had 59% of the ball to Rio Ave's 41%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 3.00 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting CP and 0.50 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Rio Ave?

Sporting CP 3-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 70%, draw 17%, Rio Ave 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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