Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 HT 1-0
Khimki
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Khimki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.92
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.52
X/2
18%
5.33
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
11%
3.72
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Khimki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.14/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.5 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Khimki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Khimki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
22.11.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
13.09.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
24.07.2022 Khimki Khimki 3-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
17.04.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
27.08.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over Khimki 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Pari Nizhny Novgorod made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.00 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Khimki?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 37%, draw 26%, Khimki 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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