Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

Rostov
1-1 HT 1-0
Rubin Kazan
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rostov vs Rubin Kazan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.69
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
9%
7.28
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.36
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Rubin Kazan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.67/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.38
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.2 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rostov vs Rubin Kazan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
293 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.08.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.03.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
07.11.2021 Rostov Rostov 5-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS

Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.94 xG 1.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
365 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 21
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Rubin Kazan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rostov had 61% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rostov and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?

Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rostov 44%, draw 24%, Rubin Kazan 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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