Rubin Kazan 3-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 35% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
9%
4.98
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
18%
4.23
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.84/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.21
-34% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.9 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rostov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
230 Passes 272
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.08.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.03.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
07.11.2021 Rostov Rostov 5-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
10.04.2021 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
3-1
AWAY Rostov
2.23 xG 1.41
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
191 Passes 409
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan beat Rostov 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Rubin Kazan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 35% of the ball to Rostov's 65%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.23 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rubin Kazan and 2.00 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Rubin Kazan 3-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 31%, draw 30%, Rostov 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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