Zenit St. Petersburg 0-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
16%
3.73
X/2
6%
10.35
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.66
2/X
7%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.44
+37% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.5 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 0.94
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
490 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
03.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova Rusya - Süper Kupa
19.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.08.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
28.11.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
0-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.18 xG 1.20
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
17 Corners 0
551 Passes 242
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova squeezed past Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Zenit St. Petersburg carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 68% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 32%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.18 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 56%, draw 23%, CSKA Moskova 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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