Spartak Moskova 1-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.17
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
8%
4.84
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.23
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.61/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.42
+49% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.5 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
02.09.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.07.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
24.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
23.07.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
13.03.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-0
AWAY Krasnodar
0.75 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 443
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Moskova edged past Krasnodar 1-0 in the Russia - Premier League on 11 May 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 44% of the ball to Krasnodar's 56%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.75 to 1.80.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Spartak Moskova and 2.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Spartak Moskova 1-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 46%, draw 24%, Krasnodar 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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