Radnicki Nis 3-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
1.48/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.13
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
25.6 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
06.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
09.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
23.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
26.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.11.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
3-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.01 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
567 Passes 261
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis got the better of Napredak Krusevac 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnicki Nis as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 64% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 36%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.01 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Radnicki Nis and 1.33 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Napredak Krusevac?

Radnicki Nis 3-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 51%, draw 24%, Napredak Krusevac 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki Nis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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