Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.47/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.39
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
24.8 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
09.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
23.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
26.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.11.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
24.07.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 4-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-0
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.69 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
279 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac edged past Radnicki Nis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Napredak Krusevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 44% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 56%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.69 to 1.62 — on chances, Radnicki Nis could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.83 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 39%, draw 28%, Radnicki Nis 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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