Kızılyıldız 5-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

Kızılyıldız
5-0 HT 2-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2025/2026

Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.9pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kızılyıldız v Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.68/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.76
+32% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
416 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 63%
48.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
27.6 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.29 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
400 Passes 154
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
48 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 2-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.10.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.04.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
31.10.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP

Kızılyıldız 5-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
5-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3.37 xG 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
412 Passes 200
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 65% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 35%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.37 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.25 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Kızılyıldız 5-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 65%, draw 20%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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