Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.96/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.62
-16% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.0 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 2.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
324 Passes 181
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-1 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0-1
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
0.89 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
371 Passes 230
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Javor Ivanjica nicked a narrow win over Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 60% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 40%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Javor Ivanjica?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 48%, draw 26%, Javor Ivanjica 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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