Jedinstvo Ub 1-0 Macva Sabac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Macva Sabac EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
1-0
AWAY Macva Sabac
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs Macva Sabac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jedinstvo Ub squeezed past Macva Sabac 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jedinstvo Ub as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 47% of the ball to Macva Sabac's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs Macva Sabac?

Jedinstvo Ub 1-0 Macva Sabac in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs Macva Sabac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jedinstvo Ub win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 48%, draw 20%, Macva Sabac 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jedinstvo Ub), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jedinstvo Ub) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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