OFK Beograd 4-1 Kolubara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolubara EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.67/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.06
+116% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
4-1
AWAY Kolubara
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Kolubara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd cruised past Kolubara 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 48% of the ball to Kolubara's 52%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Kolubara?

OFK Beograd 4-1 Kolubara in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Kolubara?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 45%, draw 25%, Kolubara 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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