Mladost Lucani 1-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.99/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.75
+4% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 51.0
21.9 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.48 xG 3.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
208 Passes 398
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
12.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
11.09.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 6-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.03.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
23.09.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
16.12.2020 FK Partizan FK Partizan 4-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY FK Partizan
1.54 xG 1.91
27% Ball Possession 73%
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
158 Passes 569
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 43
13 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FK Partizan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 27% of the ball to FK Partizan's 73%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.54 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Mladost Lucani and 3.17 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 30%, draw 23%, FK Partizan 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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