Aluminij 2-1 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.10
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bistrica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
23.09.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 3-1 HT 1-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-1
AWAY Bistrica
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij squeezed past Bistrica 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aluminij had 56% of the ball to Bistrica's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aluminij had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aluminij and 1.00 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Bistrica?

Aluminij 2-1 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 52%, draw 20%, Bistrica 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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