Ilirija 2-2 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.38/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.64
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Triglav
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.03.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
28.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 5-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
21.05.2022 Triglav Triglav 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
06.11.2021 Ilirija Ilirija 0-2 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija and Triglav shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilirija and 0.83 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Triglav?

Ilirija 2-2 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilirija win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 38%, draw 26%, Triglav 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilirija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilirija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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