Sakaryaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.46
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
9%
8.33
X/X
17%
4.54
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.57
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
+1% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.1 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
02.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
05.02.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
04.09.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.01.2019 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 2-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-B
01.09.2018 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
1-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor and Keçiörengücü couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sakaryaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 52% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.17 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Sakaryaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 46%, draw 29%, Keçiörengücü 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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