Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.57/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.73
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
19.0 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 279
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
28.07.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
16.04.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3-2
AWAY Angostura FC
0.96 xG 0.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
539 Passes 287
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Angostura FC 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 59% of the ball to Angostura FC's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.67 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Angostura FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 44%, draw 29%, Angostura FC 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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