Angostura FC 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.02/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.41
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.1 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
16.04.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.22 xG 1.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
225 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC and Deportivo La Guaira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Angostura FC had 40% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.22 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Angostura FC and 1.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Angostura FC 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 37%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Guaira 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Angostura FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
18 Feb 2024
00:45 Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Analysis →
03:30 Deportivo Tachira vs Rayo Zuliano Analysis →
22:00 Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV Analysis →