Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
2-1 HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.08/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.64
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
24.8 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
12.02.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
13.12.2020 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
12.11.2020 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 0-2 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.41 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
303 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello edged past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 56% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 44%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.41 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.83 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 41%, draw 29%, Estudiantes De Merida 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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