Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.92/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.21
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +79%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.8 Crosses 12.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2W-1D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.78 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
294 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2023 UCV UCV 2-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
08.04.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.08.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
10.04.2022 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
0-1
AWAY UCV
0.63 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; UCV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 52% of the ball to UCV's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 0.75 for UCV.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV?

Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 37%, draw 28%, UCV 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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