Stranraer 1-2 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.24/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.97
-14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.07.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
19.04.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
01.03.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
14.12.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
05.10.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.07.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İKLK
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City nicked a narrow win over Stranraer 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stranraer and 0.33 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Edinburgh City?

Stranraer 1-2 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 42%, draw 24%, Edinburgh City 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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