Spartans vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartans v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Spartans vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK2
1-1
HT 0-0
Spartans
İK2
Dumbarton squeezed past Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartans and 1.83 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Spartans vs Dumbarton?
Spartans 1-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartans vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartans 47%, draw 29%, Dumbarton 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.