Spartans 2-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 May 2024

Spartans
2-2 HT 1-1
Dumbarton
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Spartans vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartans v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.32/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.37
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Spartans vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
The Meetings
14.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
16.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-6 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
13.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
21.10.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
12.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
14.07.2018 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans and Dumbarton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartans and 1.50 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Dumbarton?

Spartans 2-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartans 38%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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