Dumbarton 2-1 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 May 2024

Dumbarton
2-1 HT 2-0
Spartans
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Dumbarton vs Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Spartans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +20%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.00
-7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Spartans
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-6 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
13.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
21.10.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
12.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
14.07.2018 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton squeezed past Spartans 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Dumbarton and 1.00 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Spartans?

Dumbarton 2-1 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 36%, draw 32%, Spartans 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5
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