Spartans 2-6 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.21
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Dumbarton
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
13.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
21.10.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
12.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
14.07.2018 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton swept aside Spartans 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Spartans and 0.25 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Dumbarton?

Spartans 2-6 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Spartans 53%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 23%. The final score 2-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Stranraer vs Elgin City Analysis →
18:00 Peterhead vs East Fife Analysis →
18:00 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Clyde Analysis →
18:00 Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir Analysis →