Forfar Athletic 1-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.13/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.29
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0 Corners 4
06.01.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
04.11.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-3 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
05.08.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
25.03.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
11.02.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
10.12.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic and Stenhousemuir shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stenhousemuir at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Forfar Athletic 1-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 35%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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