Peterhead 1-1 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.53/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.09
+15% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
3W-3D-0L
AWAY East Fife
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
20.01.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-2 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
04.11.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 2-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
05.08.2023 East Fife East Fife 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
23.04.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK1
29.01.2022 East Fife East Fife 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
11.12.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK1
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead and East Fife shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Peterhead at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peterhead and 0.50 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs East Fife?

Peterhead 1-1 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 43%, draw 25%, East Fife 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterhead), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterhead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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