Stranraer 1-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
46%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.91
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
06.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
05.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
18.02.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
08.10.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 2-3 HT 2-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Stranraer 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Stranraer 1-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 54%, draw 25%, Elgin City 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stranraer), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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