Queens Park 1-3 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 25% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.35
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
15%
6.35
X/2
11%
5.27
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
25%
3.26
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.85
-19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
27.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 6-0 HT 3-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
19.08.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
12.08.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
24.03.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
23.12.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-4 HT 0-2 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
14.10.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath beat Queens Park 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Queens Park and 0.67 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Arbroath?

Queens Park 1-3 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 30%, draw 28%, Arbroath 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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