Ayr United 0-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
11%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.08
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
19%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.76/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 64%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.1 Crosses 11.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.04.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.01.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 3-0 HT 3-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
24.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
06.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers nicked a narrow win over Ayr United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Raith Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ayr United and 1.17 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr United 0-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 36%, draw 27%, Raith Rovers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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