Raith Rovers 1-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.43
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.34
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
14%
5.52
X/2
19%
5.34
X/X
18%
3.6
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
8%
4.13
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
+15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 10.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Corners 8
04.01.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 3-0 HT 3-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
24.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
06.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
24.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers nicked a narrow win over Ayr United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Raith Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Raith Rovers 1-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 33%, draw 35%, Ayr United 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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