Falkirk 5-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.56
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.25
X/1
16%
3.8
X/2
9%
18.1
X/X
6%
7.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.3
2/2
5%
16.05
2/X
6%
23.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.3 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
2.17/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.98
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
173 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 144 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 2.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greenock Morton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
21.02.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-2 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
02.11.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 6-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 2-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
09.07.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
20.04.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
01.03.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Greenock Morton 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Falkirk and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Greenock Morton?

Falkirk 5-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 62%, draw 20%, Greenock Morton 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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