Greenock Morton 0-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 21 Feb 2025

Greenock Morton
0-2 HT 0-2
Falkirk
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Greenock Morton vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
7%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 38% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
15%
11.3
1/2
4%
27.0
1/X
4%
20.35
X/1
9%
12.15
X/2
14%
3.7
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.91
2/X
6%
17.65
Value flag · 1/1 at 11.3 — our 15% vs market 5.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+13.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-13.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.98/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.41
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
211 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses 4.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Greenock Morton vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 6-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 2-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
09.07.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
20.04.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
01.03.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.12.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk beat Greenock Morton 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.67 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Falkirk?

Greenock Morton 0-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 29%, draw 24%, Falkirk 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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