Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 HT 0-1
Hamilton
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.56
X/X
17%
4.43
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.26
2/X
5%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.55/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.30
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 62%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
38.0 Crosses 5.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
25.02.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
07.12.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
24.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
12.03.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
15.01.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
04.12.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton nicked a narrow win over Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dunfermline Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 44%, draw 30%, Hamilton 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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