Hamilton 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.47
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
15%
6.18
X/2
9%
5.22
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.83/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
-29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 67%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.2 Crosses 4.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
07.12.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
24.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
12.03.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
15.01.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
04.12.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
25.09.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hamilton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamilton and 1.00 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Hamilton 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 38%, draw 26%, Dunfermline Athletic 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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