Dunfermline Athletic 3-2 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 7 Dec 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
3-2 HT 0-0
Hamilton
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
13%
7.19
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.36/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.69
-23% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 2.0
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
12.03.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
15.01.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
04.12.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
25.09.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
14.02.2017 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic edged past Hamilton 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.83 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton?

Dunfermline Athletic 3-2 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 46%, draw 26%, Hamilton 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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