Falkirk 3-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 7 Dec 2024

Falkirk
3-0 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.01
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
23%
3.73
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
13%
5.43
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
6%
9.02
2/X
5%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
2.26/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.75
+20% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
8.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
27.11.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
03.03.2020 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
14.12.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
05.10.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.09.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Raith Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Falkirk and 1.50 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Falkirk 3-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 54%, draw 28%, Raith Rovers 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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