Partick Thistle 1-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.03
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.45
X/2
13%
6.59
X/X
15%
4.31
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.22
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.68
+15% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
388 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
27.04.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
27.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 4-3 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
31.10.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-4 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
26.05.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-5 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle squeezed past Ayr United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.17 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Partick Thistle 1-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 44%, draw 27%, Ayr United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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