Livingston 3-2 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.7
X/1
13%
3.73
X/2
6%
12.35
X/X
14%
5.49
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
10%
11.0
2/X
6%
20.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.79/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
169 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 138 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 2.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
07.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
12.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
24.08.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.04.2018 Livingston Livingston 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
13.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
27.02.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Livingston 3-2 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Livingston 53%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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