Livingston 2-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +69%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
24.08.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.04.2018 Livingston Livingston 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
13.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
27.02.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
26.08.2017 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
15.08.2017 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-2 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCK
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston edged past Greenock Morton 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Livingston and 0.67 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Livingston 2-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Livingston 45%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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