Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Nov 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 HT 1-0
Alloa Athletic
📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2024/2025

Dunfermline Athletic vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.36
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dunfermline Athletic vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
04.03.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
08.10.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
30.07.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.07.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
30.04.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 53%, draw 26%, Alloa Athletic 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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