East Kilbride 3-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Nov 2024

East Kilbride
3-2 HT 2-0
Ayr United
📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2024/2025

East Kilbride vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
32%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Kilbride v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 56%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH East Kilbride vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Kilbride nicked a narrow win over Ayr United 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Ayr United?

East Kilbride 3-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 33%, draw 21%, Ayr United 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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