Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.34
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
9%
6.91
X/2
15%
4.8
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.03
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.05
Value flag · 2/X at 13.05 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.01
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
6 Corners 2
29.10.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
03.08.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
09.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
06.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
04.11.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians squeezed past Raith Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.50 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 30%, draw 29%, Raith Rovers 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raith Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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