Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Jan 2024

Airdrieonians
1-0 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.08
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
10%
5.45
X/2
10%
4.96
X/X
9%
4.24
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
26%
3.59
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
1.00/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.98
-23% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
220 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
– Crosses 10.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
6 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.02.2020 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
15.03.2008 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
02.02.2008 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
20.10.2007 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians squeezed past Raith Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.83 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 33%, draw 23%, Raith Rovers 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Raith Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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