Raith Rovers 1-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
17%
3.76
X/2
8%
9.39
X/X
17%
4.86
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
7.77
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
+16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Airdrieonians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 9
03.08.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
09.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
06.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
04.11.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.02.2020 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers edged past Airdrieonians 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raith Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.17 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians?

Raith Rovers 1-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Airdrieonians 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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