Raith Rovers 1-3 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.02
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.47
X/2
11%
6.65
X/X
15%
4.06
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.28
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.76/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.98
+18% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Airdrieonians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 9
06.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
04.11.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.02.2020 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
15.03.2008 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
02.02.2008 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians beat Raith Rovers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Airdrieonians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.00 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians?

Raith Rovers 1-3 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 39%, draw 29%, Airdrieonians 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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