Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.87
X/2
10%
5.62
X/X
14%
3.98
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
11%
4.36
2/X
10%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.61/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.91
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
6 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
09.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
06.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
04.11.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.02.2020 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
15.03.2008 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians edged past Raith Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Airdrieonians as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 41%, draw 30%, Raith Rovers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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